empty
 
 
11.12.2025 09:52 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, gold bounced off a level slightly above the round $4,200, accelerating its upward momentum.

Yesterday, as expected, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the interest rate by 25 basis points following a two-day meeting and projected only one possible rate cut in 2026. However, investors expect two more cuts next year, especially after the dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

At the post-meeting press conference, Powell noted that the U.S. labor market faces significant downside risks and that the central bank does not want its economic-tightening policies to hinder job creation. This comment weakened the U.S. dollar and helped gold reach a new weekly high.

Nevertheless, the Fed Chair refrained from giving specific forecasts regarding the timing of future rate cuts but hinted that upcoming reductions are likely to be more restrictive. Moreover, two hawkish members of the Federal Open Market Committee opposed yesterday's rate cut, adding uncertainty about the pace of future policy easing and acting as a restraint on precious metal prices at yesterday's session.

However, today the U.S. Department of Labor reported that initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6 rose to 236,000, compared to the revised 192,000 in the previous week. These numbers increased pressure on the dollar, causing it to plunge, and created favorable conditions for gold's rise.

In addition, slow progress in ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine continues to fuel geopolitical uncertainty, affecting global markets and supporting safe-haven assets such as gold.

From a technical standpoint, positive oscillators on the daily chart suggest that any pullback toward the round $4,200 level can be viewed as a buying opportunity.

A strong rally beyond $4,250 and consolidation above $4,270 would push the price toward the round $4,300 level. Further buying could be considered a key factor for the bulls. However, it is worth noting that the Relative Strength Index is approaching overbought territory, which confirms the likelihood of a correction.

Ringkasan
Urgensi
Analitik
Irina Yanina
Mulai berdagang
Dapatkan keuntungan dari perubahan nilai mata uang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Unduh MetaTrader 4 dan buka perdagangan pertama Anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    GABUNG KONTES
  • Chancy Deposit
    Isi akun Anda sebesar $3000 dan dapatkan $6000 lebih banyak!
    Pada Desember kami mengundi $6000 dalam promo Chancy Deposit!
    Dapatkan kesempatan untuk menang dengan melakukan deposit sebesar $3000 pada akun trading Anda. Setelah memenuhi persyaratan ini, Anda telah menjadi partisipan promo.
    GABUNG KONTES
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up akun anda dengan dana minimal $500, daftar kontes, dan dapatkan peluang untuk memenangkan perangkat seluler.
    GABUNG KONTES
  • 30% Bonus
    Raih bonus 30% setiap kali anda top up
    DAPATKAN BONUS

Artikel yang direkomendasikan

Tidak bisa bicara sekarang?
Tanyakan pertanyaan anda lewat chat.
Widget callback