empty
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
15.04.2025 11:55 AM
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 15, 2025
Open trading account Open demo account

On Monday, the EUR/USD pair continued to rise but returned by the end of the day to the 261.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1318. A double rebound from this level allows traders to expect a reversal in favor of the euro and a resumption of growth toward the 323.6% Fibonacci level at 1.1456. A consolidation below 1.1318 would indicate a continuation of the decline toward the levels of 1.1240 and 1.1179.

This image is no longer relevant

The most recent completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous one, while the new upward wave broke the previous high. This indicates that a bullish trend remains in place. Donald Trump continues to impose new tariffs on imports, maintaining an atmosphere of panic and chaos in the markets. Bulls regained control last week, and there are quite rational reasons for that.

There was no significant news background on Monday, but Donald Trump is still leaning toward further escalation of the trade war. It was reported that the White House is preparing new tariffs on semiconductors. If the bears had any intention of launching a counterattack, that intent quickly faded.

Meanwhile, China's Ministry of Commerce stated that the U.S. president's actions could provoke a global humanitarian crisis. Trump's tariffs will hurt developing countries and have already triggered a wave of uncertainty and instability worldwide. Xi Jinping, in turn, urged the European Union to join forces against Trump's trade policy. According to him, this is necessary to protect the legitimate rights and interests of all parties involved, as well as to preserve fair competition and the principles of international trade. China and the EU may well form a united front against Trump's protectionism. If that happens, the trade war could escalate to a new level, potentially causing even more damage to the U.S. economy and the dollar.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair continues to rise toward the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1495. The trade war, in the full sense of the term, has only just begun. Thus, I cannot forecast growth or decline for the pair based solely on the current information. Price movements will continue to depend on the news background, which could remain intense throughout the week. The bullish trend persists. A rejection from 1.1495 would allow for a potential reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and a possible pullback.

Commitments of Traders (COT) Report:

This image is no longer relevant

In the last reporting week, professional traders opened 7,049 long positions and closed 1,096 short positions. Sentiment among the non-commercial group has recently turned bullish again—thanks to Donald Trump. The total number of long positions held by speculators is now 190,000, compared to 130,000 short positions.

For 20 consecutive weeks, large players had been dumping the euro, but for the past 9 weeks, they've been reducing short positions and increasing longs. The difference in monetary policy approaches between the ECB and the Fed still favors the dollar due to the rate differential, but Trump's policies are now a stronger influence for traders. His actions could push the FOMC into a more dovish stance and even lead to a U.S. recession.

Economic Calendar for the U.S. and the EU:

  • EU – Industrial Production Change (09:00 UTC)
  • EU – ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (09:00 UTC)
  • Germany – ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (09:00 UTC)

On April 15, the economic calendar includes a few less significant releases. The influence of macroeconomic news on the market's mood will be limited on Tuesday, but any new tariff-related news could once again shake the markets.

EUR/USD Forecast and Trading Tips:

Today, you can consider buying or selling the pair if there are clear signals around key hourly chart levels. However, once again, I emphasize that price movements will depend more on the news flow than on the chart pattern. As of Tuesday morning, there are no technical signals on the hourly chart.

Fibonacci levels:

  • Hourly chart: 1.0957–1.0733
  • 4-hour chart: 1.1214–1.0179
Samir Klishi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Forecast
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on June 12. Review of Yesterday's Forex Trades The price test at 145.08 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the dollar
Jakub Novak
08:41 2025-06-12 +02:00
1105
Forecast
GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on June 12. Review of Yesterday's Forex Trades The price test at 1.3502 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun rising from the zero line, confirming the validity of the entry point for purchasing the pound
Jakub Novak
08:41 2025-06-12 +02:00
1165
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movement Crude Oil Commodity Instrument, Thursday June 12, 2025.

If we look at the daily chart of the Crude Oil commodity instrument, there appears to be a Divergence between the price movement of #CL and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator
Arief Makmur 08:10 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Nasdaq 100 Index, Thursday June 12, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 index, there is a divergence between its price movement and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator, especially with the current confirmation of the price
Arief Makmur 08:10 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for June 12-19, 2025: sell below 1.1500 (21 SMA - 8/8 Murray)

If the euro price falls below 1.1500 in the coming hours, this could be seen as an opportunity to sell. Technically, it appears overbought on the H4 chart and could
Dimitrios Zappas 05:33 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for June 12-19, 2025: sell below $3,386 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,331. Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above 3,359, where
Dimitrios Zappas 05:32 2025-06-12 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for June 12, 2025

The U.S. inflation data released on Wednesday stirred the markets: the dollar index dropped by 0.47%, WTI oil surged by 5.54%, gold rose by 1.27%, and 5-year U.S. Treasury yields
Laurie Bailey 04:40 2025-06-12 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for June 12, 2025

On Wednesday, the British pound successfully avoided a decline below technical support levels, reversing upward from them. The price rebounded from the MACD indicator line on the daily chart, while
Laurie Bailey 04:40 2025-06-12 UTC+2

USD/JPY Forecast for June 12, 2025

The price correction since May 27 was complex and prolonged, posing a risk of a breakout above 146.11. However, this risk is no longer a concern with the reversal from
Laurie Bailey 04:40 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Bitcoin: Dollar Strength Could Trigger a Downturn in the Crypto Market

Today, the market's main focus will be the release of the U.S. inflation report, which is expected to show not only a halt in the recent decline but the highest
Pati Gani 11:47 2025-06-11 UTC+2

EUR/USD. June 11th. The U.S. and China Agreed on Nothing

On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued to move sideways between the levels of 1.1380 and 1.1454. A new rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1380 enabled another rise
Samir Klishi 11:12 2025-06-11 UTC+2

GBP/USD. June 11th. UK Unemployment and US Inflation

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its decline on Tuesday, consolidated below the 161.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3520, and rebounded from it from below. Thus, the decline
Samir Klishi 10:56 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 21:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
EUR/USD Forecast for June 12, 2025
04:40 2025-06-12
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 19:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
EUR/USD Overview – June 12: Is There Light at the End of the Tunnel?
04:07 2025-06-12
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 21:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
GBP/USD Forecast for June 12, 2025
04:40 2025-06-12
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 21:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
USD/JPY Forecast for June 12, 2025
04:40 2025-06-12
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 22:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
What to Pay Attention to on June 12? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners
05:52 2025-06-12
Fundamental analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.