empty
13.06.2025 12:21 AM
Trump Sends Out "Letters of Happiness"

This image is no longer relevant

It has been less than two weeks since Donald Trump raised import tariffs on steel and aluminum for all countries except the UK. While negotiations with the UK were deemed successful, a formal agreement has not yet been signed due to unresolved issues. Currently, not a single trade deal—so actively promoted by Trump—has been finalized. It's also worth noting that roughly two months ago, Trump gave all trade partners a 90-day grace period with minimal tariffs to allow time for negotiations. As I've pointed out repeatedly, that grace period is ending, yet no deals have materialized. Moreover, there is no information about ongoing negotiations with any countries. This raises the question: was there ever any negotiation in the first place?

The U.S. president likely understands that time is running out, and soon, it won't be 74 countries looking foolish on the world stage—it will be him. Why? If none of those 74 countries manage to sign a deal with the U.S., a natural question arises: What kinds of demands is America making that no one is willing—or able—to meet? And more importantly, why does no one want to? In this scenario, Trump, who has been talking for months about securing "great deals," will look like a failed negotiator no one wants to engage with. Many countries might be open to talks, but "negotiation" and "accepting ultimatums" are two very different things.

This image is no longer relevant

That's why the American president announced plans to send "letters with unilateral tariff rates" to all trade partners. In other words, Trump is preparing to raise tariffs on all countries not in a hurry to offer trade terms that benefit America. He's planning to unilaterally decide the tariff rate each country will face. And all of this is happening amid mass protests across the U.S. against Trump's immigration policies. It seems that regular Americans may soon join the protests as Trump prepares to raise prices on goods from half the world.

EUR/USD Wave Outlook:

Based on the current analysis, EUR/USD continues building an upward trend segment. In the near term, news will heavily influence wave structure, especially Trump's decisions and U.S. foreign policy. Wave 3 of the upward trend continues to unfold, with potential targets reaching the 1.2500 area. Therefore, I favor buying positions with targets above 1.1708 (127.2% Fibonacci level) and beyond. Keep in mind: any de-escalation in the trade war could reverse this uptrend—but for now, there are no signs of either a reversal or de-escalation.

This image is no longer relevant

GBP/USD Wave Outlook:

The wave pattern for GBP/USD has transformed. We are now observing an upward impulsive trend. Unfortunately, with Donald Trump in office, markets may experience unpredictable shocks and trend reversals that defy technical analysis. Still, the working scenario remains valid. Wave 3 of the uptrend is unfolding, with a near-term target of 1.3708 (200.0% Fibonacci extension from presumed global wave 2). Therefore, I maintain a bullish outlook, as the market does not intend to reverse.

Core Principles of My Analysis:

  1. Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often evolve unexpectedly.
  2. If uncertain about market behavior, it's better to stay out.
  3. One can never be 100% sure of market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.
  4. Wave analysis can and should be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.
Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Análisis del par GBP/USD. El 3 de julio. Jerome Powell finalmente respondió a Trump.

El par de divisas GBP/USD durante el miércoles se desplomó como una piedra. Sin embargo, cualquier caída del par siempre termina en un crecimiento mucho más fuerte. Por lo tanto

Paolo Greco 07:32 2025-07-03 UTC+2

Análisis del par EUR/USD. El 3 de julio. Una gran ley de Trump aprobada, el dólar en mínimos de 4 años.

El par de divisas EUR/USD durante el miércoles se negoció de manera bastante tranquila, si es que se puede aplicar la palabra "tranquila" a la caída diaria del dólar

Paolo Greco 07:31 2025-07-03 UTC+2

Analisis del par GBP/USD. El 1 de julio. Trump el genio y los estadounidenses ciegos. Parte 2.

El par de divisas GBP/USD bajó moderadamente durante el lunes, lo cual no representa ningún problema para la moneda británica. La libra esterlina puede permitirse tranquilamente perder 100 o incluso

Paolo Greco 07:05 2025-07-01 UTC+2

Análisis del par EUR/USD. El 1 de julio. Trump el genio y los estadounidenses ciegos. Parte 1.

El par de divisas EUR/USD continuó negociándose el lunes dentro de un rango extremadamente estrecho. El lunes hubo pocas noticias, y las que se publicaron no despertaron mayor interés entre

Paolo Greco 07:05 2025-07-01 UTC+2

El Bitcoin convierte a sus competidores en polvo

Expectativas y realidad. Los creadores de criptomonedas las concebían como un universo donde cualquier token podía competir por el dinero de los inversores. En la práctica, aparte del Bitcoin

Marek Petkovich 12:43 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Analisis del par GBP/USD. El 30 de junio. Nóminas no agrícolas, Powell y desempleo.

El par GBP/USD subió 300 puntos durante la semana pasada y, al parecer, no tiene intención de detenerse. Incluso el viernes, el precio no logró iniciar una corrección bajista

Paolo Greco 07:48 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Analisis del par EUR/USD. El 30 de junio. Inflación europea y nueva ronda de discursos de Lagarde.

El par de divisas EUR/USD continúa su movimiento ascendente durante cinco meses consecutivos. En este período, solo hemos visto algunas correcciones bajistas débiles, que cada vez terminaban con otra caída

Paolo Greco 07:48 2025-06-30 UTC+2

Analisis del par GBP/USD. El 27 de junio. La historia no se repite.

El par de divisas GBP/USD continuó su fuerte movimiento alcista durante el jueves. Desde el inicio de la semana, el dólar estadounidense ha perdido "solo" 330 puntos. Ya hemos mencionado

Paolo Greco 07:31 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Analisis del par EUR/USD. El 27 de junio. ¿Podrá Trump equilibrar la balanza comercial?

El par de divisas EUR/USD se encuentra en un "crecimiento libre" (por analogía con el concepto de "caída libre"). El dólar vuelve a precipitarse al abismo, tal como advertimos

Paolo Greco 07:31 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Análisis del par GBP/USD. El 26 de junio. Se acerca el 9 de julio.

El par de divisas GBP/USD durante el miércoles al mediodía se mantuvo en el mismo lugar. Recordemos una antigua señal técnica. Si el precio actualiza un extremo significativo y luego

Paolo Greco 08:30 2025-06-26 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.