empty
30.08.2024 12:01 PM
EUR/GBP: Overview and Analysis

This image is no longer relevant

The EUR/GBP pair is still struggling, continuing its losing streak.

This image is no longer relevant

There's a good chance that the EUR/GBP pair will keep dropping. The British pound is getting a boost from the Bank of England's firm stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer compared to the European Central Bank.

At the Jackson Hole symposium last week, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey pointed out that the knock-on effects of inflationary pressures might be less significant than previously thought. He also advised against rushing into further interest rate cuts. Earlier, on August 1, the Bank of England had already cut rates by 25 basis points, bringing them down to 5%. Meanwhile, money markets are expecting another 40 basis point cut by the end of this year.

In the UK, house prices rose by 2.4% year-on-year in August, up from July's 2.1%. This was the sixth straight month of price increases and the biggest jump since December 2022. But in a surprising twist, monthly house prices actually dipped by 0.2% after a 0.3% rise in July, despite market expectations of a 0.3% increase.

Turning to the euro, inflation in the Eurozone slowed even further in August, according to CPI data from Germany and Spain. This slowdown has led to growing expectations that the European Central Bank might cut interest rates, which is putting pressure on the euro and dragging down the EUR/GBP pair.

Carsten Brzeski, Head of Macroeconomics at ING, called the slowdown in inflation great news for the ECB. He pointed out that the combination of an economic slowdown and decreasing inflation provides the perfect backdrop for rate cuts. However, he also cautioned that inflation in the services sector is still a concern.

Today, it's worth keeping an eye on the Eurozone CPI, as it could offer more clues about the health of the Eurozone economy and create new trading opportunities.

From a technical perspective, the indicators suggest that the path of least resistance for the pair remains downward, with oscillators in negative territory and far from oversold levels.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. What Does the U.S. CPI Report Indicate?

Traders of the EUR/USD pair interpreted the U.S. CPI report in favor of the U.S. dollar, despite the release being somewhat mixed. The report reflected an acceleration in both headline

Irina Manzenko 00:03 2025-07-16 UTC+2

Trump Misleads Again—and Loses

Over the past few months, Trump has repeatedly criticized the Federal Reserve for its reluctance to cut interest rates. According to the U.S. President, such a high rate (4.5%)

Chin Zhao 00:03 2025-07-16 UTC+2

The Dollar Launches a Witch Hunt

Everyone gets what they want. Supporters of the U.S. dollar are pleased that American inflation accelerated in June, leaving the Federal Reserve with no grounds to cut the federal funds

Marek Petkovich 00:02 2025-07-16 UTC+2

Pressure on the Pound Is Mounting

Incoming macroeconomic data from the UK appears distinctly weak. GDP unexpectedly declined by 0.1% in May instead of the forecasted 0.1% growth. The trade balance deficit exceeded expectations, industrial production

Kuvat Raharjo 00:02 2025-07-16 UTC+2

AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, Tuesday, during the European session, the AUD/JPY pair reached the round level of 97.00. The yen continues to show relative weakness amid growing expectations that the Bank of Japan

Irina Yanina 12:44 2025-07-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair is gaining positive momentum, recovering from more than two weeks of declines triggered by Trump's threat to impose new tariffs. On Saturday, Trump announced plans

Irina Yanina 12:30 2025-07-15 UTC+2

The European Union Finalizes Second List of Countermeasures

The European Union has finalized its second list of countermeasures against U.S. goods, totaling 72 billion euros. This step comes in response to the ongoing trade tensions between

Jakub Novak 11:25 2025-07-15 UTC+2

Trump's Actions Alarm Germany

While the euro remains relatively stable, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is not feeling as confident. In a recent interview, he stated that U.S. President Donald Trump's threat to impose 30%

Jakub Novak 11:11 2025-07-15 UTC+2

Rising Inflation in the U.S. Will Decrease the Likelihood of Fed Rate Cuts (Possible Resumption of USD/CAD and Bitcoin Growth)

While President Donald Trump continues playing his favorite game called "Make America Great Again," market participants are calculating the cost of U.S. trade wars with nearly the entire world

Pati Gani 09:58 2025-07-15 UTC+2

The Market Will Break Out of Its Cage

Deep down, markets still believe tariffs could become an inflationary force. However, without confirmation from official data, investors are not ready to sell the S&P 500. They've grown accustomed

Marek Petkovich 09:14 2025-07-15 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.