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12.06.2025 04:40 AM
2025年6月12日歐元/美元預測

週三公佈的美國通脹數據攪動了市場:美元指數下跌0.47%,WTI原油暴漲5.54%,黃金上漲1.27%,5年期美國國債收益率從4.08%下降至4.01%。5月核心CPI年增率保持不變,為2.8%,低於2.9%的預測,而整體CPI從2.3%上升至2.4%,也低於2.5%的預測。投資者解讀這些數據可能會影響聯邦儲備局傾向於放鬆政策,同時保持一定的獨立性。儘管聯邦基金期貨仍然顯示9月可能減息,但債券市場似乎已經在為最早可能在即將到來的6月18日會議上進行這一行動定價,因為收益率曲線的倒掛現象越來越普遍。這足以支持至少再一週的歐元買入興趣。

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根據周線圖,我們預期歐元/美元將首先上升至目標位1.1692,然後再移動到1.1815,這是2018年9月的高點,與價格通道的上邊界一致。

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日線圖顯示價格正在測試第一個阻力位1.1535。因為接近4月21日的高點,在突破該水平後可能出現小幅暫停,並可能在繼續推進前出現一些盤整。在此之後,我們預期價格將上漲至1.1692。

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在H4圖表上,價格突破了兩條指標線並穩定上升,而Marlin振盪指標也已經向上突破整理區域。最初的上漲動力已經出現。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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